By Emiliano Longo
Publication Date: 2026-06-09 09:05:00
Our novel artificial intelligence model can predict extreme storm surges with high accuracy, even under future climate conditions. Because the AI model runs much faster, it can help researchers and practitioners better assess coastal flood risk for adaptation planning.
As sea levels rise, so do the risks posed by extreme coastal events such as storm surges – temporary rises in sea level caused primarily by storms and a leading cause of coastal flooding. For the more than 10% of the world’s population living in low-lying coastal regions, the combination of gradual rise in mean sea level and increasingly severe extreme events poses a growing threat.
For coastal planners and policy makers, the key issue is not only the expected rise in mean sea level, but also the changes in the probability and severity of extreme events. Infrastructure design, urban planning and disaster preparedness depend on estimates of extreme event scenarios.
However,…