Why Nvidia stock might not be the best AI share to buy for 2026

Why Nvidia stock might not be the best AI share to buy for 2026

By Jon Smith
Publication Date: 2026-01-16 11:28:00

Image source: Getty Images

For the past few years, Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock has been the go-to for those looking to gain exposure to AI. The share price has done handsomely in the process, rallying 39% in the past year. Yet after talking to a friend, there are several reasons as to why there might be other, better AI picks for investors right now.

Growth is priced in

Some investors buying the stock aren’t focused on this quarter’s earnings, but rather on the expectation of future earnings growth. This is one of the reasons the price-to-earnings ratio is high at 46. People aren’t buying it on earnings right now, but they could be years down the line, when AI adoption is much broader.

That’s fine, but it means the company has a high bar to meet. For 2026, the market may need continued stronger-than-expected earnings and revenue growth to justify the high valuation. If competitors win share or demand slows, expectations could get repriced quickly. This isn’t the case for competitors like Intel and Advanced Micro Devices, which would be the ones gaining market share. It’s one factor that could make these companies more attractive options.

Market cap

Nvidia is the largest company in the world by market cap. It currently stands at a whopping $4.43trn. This could make it harder for the share price to continue to deliver meaningful gains this year and beyond, simply because of the existing size.

For example, a small AI company might…