The Case For NVIDIA Stock Rests On One Thing

The Case For NVIDIA Stock Rests On One Thing

By Trefis Team
Publication Date: 2026-10-15 13:42:00

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NVIDIA (NVDA) has translated demand for its AI platform into rapid sales growth. NVIDIA can only sell the hardware its partners build, leaving the open risk for shareholders with component manufacturers. The company has yet to prove these suppliers can keep pace with customer appetite. This issue matters today because NVIDIA has guided to another round of higher sales for the quarter it reports next.

Management Says NVIDIA’s Suppliers Are Running Flat Out

Executives have acknowledged challenges across NVIDIA’s entire supply chain, noting that everyone involved is running flat out. This assessment emerged during the August 26, 2026 earnings call, when analysts questioned the company about demand and the most acute shortages. Discussions on that call included shortages in DRAM memory chips and wafer capacity at chip foundries. Analysts additionally brought up power and physical space for data centers, which sit outside the direct scope of parts NVIDIA buys.

On the demand side, executives stated their belief that most AI now operates as agents. For the time being, NVIDIA’s suppliers appear to set the limit on its sales just as much as its customers do.

NVIDIA Is Counting On Even More From Its Suppliers

NVIDIA has guided to revenue of $108 billion for its fiscal 2027 third quarter. This compares to the $96.2 billion reported for the fiscal 2027 second quarter. The guide sits about $12 billion…