Microsoft Has Something Nvidia Doesn’t and Here’s Why it Matters

Microsoft Has Something Nvidia Doesn’t and Here’s Why it Matters

By Vandita Jadeja
Publication Date: 2026-08-22 17:00:00

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Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT | MSFT Price Prediction) has spent the last year alongside NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) as the two poster children of the AI trade. But Microsoft has one thing Nvidia does not: a $678 billion contracted commercial backlog that turns AI demand into recurring, subscription-grade revenue.

Our 24/7 Wall St. price target for Microsoft is $590.43, and that backlog is a big reason the model sees room to run.

24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary

MetricValue
Current Price$483.61
24/7 Wall St. Price Target$590.43
Upside22.14%
RecommendationBUY
Confidence Level90%

Our proprietary model rates confidence high on Microsoft, with implied upside north of 22% over the next twelve months. That is a base case built on the assumption that Azure, Copilot, and the commercial backlog continue converting into revenue at the current pace.

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