By Harvey Jones
Publication Date: 2026-08-16 07:07:00
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) shares have rocketed but can the S&P 500 chip maker continue to fly now it’s the biggest company in the world?
I decided to ask ChatGPT. Not because I think the chatbot can see the future, or even value a stock. All it can do is regurgitate whatever it’s swallowed. But I thought the process may be interesting, and gave it a shot.
Nvidia shares trade at around $225 today. They’re up 1,016% over five years but the excitement has slowed lately. They’re up just 25% over the last 12 months. So I asked the bot what were the chances of Nvidia climbing 50% over the next 12 months – to roughly $338.
Let’s see what the chatbot says
That’s a tall order for a company already worth almost $5.5trn. Yet ChatGPT gave a surprisingly bullish answer, putting the probability at 30%. On the other hand, that means it sees a 70% chance of the shares failing to deliver that impressive return.
Here’s ChatGPT’s thinking: “Nvidia remains the dominant force in AI chips, and its financial numbers are extraordinary”.
Q1 2026 figures show revenue hit a record $81.6bn, up 85% year-on-year. Data centre revenue jumped 92% to $75.2bn. I don’t need a bot to tell me that’s wildly impressive.
Nvidia’s also moving from its Blackwell generation of chips towards its new Rubin platform, which it says could slash token costs. “Major cloud providers including Amazon, Microsoft and Google are among those preparing to…
