History Says Nvidia’s Record $150 Billion Buyback Is Good News for the Stock

History Says Nvidia’s Record 0 Billion Buyback Is Good News for the Stock

By Daniel Sparks, The Motley Fool
Publication Date: 2026-09-30 01:03:00

Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) said on Monday, Sept. 28, that its board added $150 billion to the company’s share repurchase authorization, taking the amount left to $235 billion. The chipmaker called it the biggest boost to a buyback authorization in history. It beats the $110 billion Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) approved in 2024.

Investors liked the news. Shares gained about 2% on Monday as I write, trading near $230.

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And history suggests they might have reason to. Apple’s biggest buyback authorizations from 2018 through 2025 and Nvidia’s own increases from 2023 through 2025 were each followed by a gain in the stock over the next 12 months. In eight of these nine cases, the stock beat the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC).

But I think the cash behind those buybacks did more of that work than the buybacks themselves.

Image source Getty Images.

A record authorization

With around 24.1 billion shares outstanding, Nvidia is worth about $5.5 trillion at around $230 a share. The full $235 billion would buy back a bit over 4% of the company.

Nvidia expects to spend the total remaining amount through fiscal 2028, which ends in January 2028 — more than $40 billion…