By Alex Sirois
Publication Date: 2026-06-03 16:09:00
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At $329.23, International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM | IBM Price Prediction) trades well above the roughly $260 level that some value-oriented frameworks would flag as a more compelling entry point. The stock has climbed 31.33% in one week and 42.83% in one month, rewarding owners and punishing those chasing the rally.
Big Blue has shed its legacy hardware drag. Software now anchors the model at $7.05 billion in Q1 2026 revenue, up 11.3%, with Data up 19%. Infrastructure rode an IBM Z refresh to 15.3% growth, with the mainframe surging 51% and segment margin expanding from 8.6% to 15.8%.
Why The Bull Case Looks Loaded
Full-year 2025 free cash flow reached $14.73 billion, and management guides to roughly $1 billion incremental FCF lift in 2026 on 5% plus constant currency revenue growth. Software annual recurring revenue stands at $24.6 billion, up 10% year over year.
The generative AI book of business vaulted from $7.5 billion to $12.5…