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We have been in a technological gold rush for more than 10 years, which in some corners makes absolutely no sense. When the madness subsides, people could lose a fortune. But overall, tech manias bring something good. As my colleague Erin Griffith said “bubbles, while messy, lead to progress. ”
I spoke to recently William Quinn, Lecturer at Queen’s University in Belfast and co-author of “Boom and bust“A history of financial bubbles, including the 1929 US stock market crash and the financial crisis more than a decade ago.
The book identifies three basic states that exist in bubbles: borrowing money is cheap, or people have saved a lot of money. It is getting easier to buy and sell assets as it is now with stock trading apps including Robinhood. And there’s a mentality that asset prices can only go up.
All of these conditions, like Griffith recently, rolled into one fun and useful articleare present now. That is in part why we see repeated peaks of “Meme” stocks like GameStop, hype around NFTsand jaw-dropping IPOs, including the one that left Airbnb’s executive director speechless.
But Quinn also told me that technology-related bubbles differ in important ways from other boom-and-bust cycles. For one thing, they do not tend to ruin the world. “I’m not worried about NFTs causing the next financial crisis or anything,” he said.
Unlike the real estate market bubble, technology bubbles are usually not inflated by borrowed money, which can lead to cascading effects. Speculative technologies are also often somewhat decoupled from the rest of the economy.
And, said Quinn, when tech bubbles burst, they can leave something positive behind. Enter the bike bubble.
The invention of the “Safety bike This was a revelation in the late 19th century, and the basic design lives on to this day. We may not think of the bicycle as a technology, but it was a major innovation for relatively reliable and affordable transportation.
It also sparked a mania among British bicycle manufacturers who went public, saw share prices rise, and then collapsed. What was left behind, Quinn says, were people and companies who, in some cases, helped usher in new innovations in automobiles, motorcycles, and road tires. Some of the bicycle pioneers are still around.
As with the bicycle bubble, good things happened in the United States after the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s. Companies like Amazon survived and thrived. Bankrupt telecommunications companies left behind cheap and useful Internet pipelines that made an online explosion possible.
More recently, a cryptocurrency collapse a few years ago has made more people curious about the benefits of the promising underlying technology. like the blockchain.
“The bubble craze can be distracting,” Griffith said, but she added, “The perspective of many people in technology and finance is that a delusion or a frenzy drives attention, excitement, enthusiasm and talent to something new.”
I don’t want to ignore the damage done by tech busts. When bubbles burst, people lose their jobs and, in some cases, all of their savings. Quinn said he believes regulators should do more to prevent Hucksters from cheating on people and running away with millions. Griffith said she worries that people who go broke on tech fads could get bitter.
Quinn said he believes that bubbles, which were relatively rare between the 1920s and 1980s, are now more common. Money and information travel quickly around the world, which fuels manias. Bubbles can be an integral part of modern life – with all the possible harms and benefits that come with it.
Tip of the week
This is how you get a cheap flight price
More of us are preparing when it will be safe to fly, the consumer technology columnist for the New York Times Brian X. Chen tells us how we can save airfare with his favorite ticket price prediction app.
When you’re like me and desperate to leave somewhereMaybe it is a good time to check out travel deals – even if you don’t plan on traveling until winter because … a pandemic.
There are nifty apps that use algorithms to predict when airfares will go down. I’ve made some notable deals and saved hundreds of dollars on flights to Hawaii, New York, and Taiwan. These algorithms may be a little less reliable in such an unpredictable year, but they’re still worth checking out.
My favorite app for saving on flights is Hopper. The free app on iOS and Android Allows users to sign up for price alert tracking, which recommends whether to buy a plane ticket now or wait for prices to drop for your destination. (Hopper also tracks hotel and rental car prices, although I didn’t use those features.)
How to use the Hopper app:
Choose your preferred travel dates. Hopper shows you a color-coded calendar with green dates showing the cheapest days to fly and red dates showing the highest prices. You can choose to only show ticket prices for non-stop flights.
Sit back and wait for advice: once you’ve chosen the days of travel, Hopper will send notifications to suggest whether to buy tickets now or wait for the price to drop. I tend to look at the Hopper flight notifications and then buy tickets directly through the airline.
(Note that Hopper was blown away when a large number of flights were canceled during the pandemic complaints from people who booked tickets through the app and had trouble getting help.)
Before we go …
Pushback against Amazon’s eagerness to control: The enterprise must reduce labor costs and increase productivityThat’s why Amazon measures every moment of the existence of a worker, wrote my colleague David Streitfeld. The backlash against Amazon’s desire for control is evident in restless warehouse workers, oversight of Congress, labor regulatory attention and tweets about bathroom breaks.
App filters can be a real social experiment for girls: MIT Technology Review examined the risks of app features that “beautify” people’s appearance by removing blemishes, changing eye color, and recoloring faces and bodies. Some of these filters can be playful and helpful, but some researchers and teens fear that they will skew the self-image of women and girls.
If Facebook is the local news channel: A Facebook group dedicated to local information in and around Beaver County, Pennsylvania helps spread the word about potholes, business closings, and shoplifting. But NBC News wrote that police also had to intervene to dispel exaggeration and falsehoods in the group, including false rumors about a killer at large who unnecessarily frightened people and detained officers.
La Verne Ford Wimberly, an 82-year-old woman in Tulsa, Okla., Was Every week she wears her Sunday best for the virtual church service. Her selfies on Facebook of her colorful clothes (including hats!) Made her a star.
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