Potential reasons why Nvidia’s earnings may have minimal impact on the stock price

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Nvidia is set to release its first-quarter fiscal 2025 results on Wednesday, May 22, after the market closes. Portfolio manager David Wagner from Aptus Capital Advisors anticipates that Nvidia will have a strong performance, but believes that the excitement surrounding the report may not necessarily translate to a significant increase in the company’s share price. Wagner acknowledges that Nvidia is likely to experience a surge in demand-driven sales in the future, but does not think that the stock is currently overvalued. He suggests various strategies for investing in the AI sector.

The upcoming earnings report from Nvidia will have a significant impact on AI trading, as the company is a key player in this market. Wagner expects the report to be positive, but cautions that investors should not get carried away with the excitement leading up to the announcement. He highlights the importance of revenue growth and continued demand for Nvidia’s products as well as the transition from Hopper to Blackwell, which will be a focal point for investors.

In terms of Nvidia’s valuation, Wagner believes that the stock is not currently overvalued, despite trading at a premium compared to Intel. He emphasizes the need for investors to focus on the company’s revenue growth and product demand rather than just its valuation. Looking ahead, Nvidia’s transition to Blackwell and the potential for further revenue growth will be key factors to watch for in determining the company’s future performance.

Wagner also discusses the broader AI trading landscape, noting that the focus is shifting towards the chips and infrastructure that support AI technology. He suggests looking at companies involved in providing essential services for data centers, such as Qantas Services, as potential investment opportunities in the AI sector. Wagner also mentions the importance of analyzing companies mentioning AI in their earnings calls to distinguish between those truly benefiting from the technology and those simply capitalizing on the trend.

Overall, the AI sector continues to show growth potential, with increased spending expected from major tech companies to fuel innovation and development in AI technology. Investors should pay attention to how these companies manage their capital expenditures and aim for sustained revenue growth and profitability in the long term. Wagner emphasizes the need for a balanced approach to investing in the AI sector, considering both established players like Nvidia and emerging opportunities in related industries.

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