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Palantir Q4 2025 Earnings Preview: Focus on AI Leverage and Deal Flow

Palantir Q4 2025 Earnings Preview: Focus on AI Leverage and Deal Flow

By Tony Sycamore
Publication Date: 2026-01-27 06:49:00

Key areas to watch

In addition to the total revenue and EPS numbers, investors will focus on several key areas in Palantir’s Q4 2025 earnings report.

Continued AIP and US business momentum

Investors will be looking for continued triple-digit commercial growth in the US, new AI Platform (AIP) bootcamps/deals and customer additions. Expansion in the commercial sector (now around 30-40% of sales) is key to diversifying beyond the government sector.

Government segment and contracts

Updates on U.S. government deals, potential international acceleration, and any risks from government funding/shutdown scenarios.

Profitability and margins

Track adjusted operating margins and free cash flow delivery toward full-year guidance of $1.9 billion to $2.1 billion. The Rule of 40 remains a flagship metric – expect comments on maintaining 100%+.

Forward guidance

Focus on the 2026 forecast as any slowdown combined with high valuations could lead to volatility.

Wider AI/competitive landscape

Any mentions of…

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