Expert says Nvidia is propping up the S&P 500 like no company has in 40 years, possibly since IBM

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Some technology companies are performing exceptionally well, overshadowing a lackluster stock market overall. The S&P 500 index broke its 31st record of the year on Tuesday, closing at 5,487.03, up more than 15% for the year. However, this growth is not evenly distributed across all companies. The top seven performers, including NVIDIA, Microsoft, Apple, Google, Amazon, Tesla, and Broadcom, have seen their shares soar by 25.3% on average, while the rest of the index’s companies have only grown by 2.7%. This concentration of growth has made some portfolio managers nervous, as these top companies are driving much of the index’s overall returns.

NVIDIA, in particular, has become a standout performer, briefly becoming the most valuable company in the world with a market capitalization of around $3.1 trillion. Its shares are up more than 170% so far this year, contributing significantly to the index’s returns. This level of concentration has raised concerns about the sustainability of this growth, with the question of whether Nvidia can maintain its dominance in the chip market.

Looking back at historical examples like IBM in the 1980s, which also led the index and outperformed its competitors significantly, there is a precedent for such high concentration in the market. However, as history shows, companies can lose their monopoly positions as technology evolves and new competitors emerge. Despite this, experts predict that large tech stocks will continue to lead the market, with Nvidia likely maintaining its position for the foreseeable future.

While this level of concentration in a few top-performing companies can move the market significantly, it also poses a risk. If one of these companies were to falter suddenly, it could have a notable impact on the overall market. For instance, if Nvidia were to lose its gains overnight, the S&P 500 could see a 4.5% drop. This disproportionality is causing concern among investors and analysts, as the market may need to absorb potential disruptions in these top-performing companies.

Overall, the exceptional performance of technology companies like Nvidia is driving significant growth in the stock market, but it also raises questions about sustainability and potential risks associated with such high concentration. Monitoring these developments and the impact of individual companies on the market will be crucial as investors navigate this evolving landscape.

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https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nvidia-carrying-p-500-no-151011908.html