By Trefis Team
Publication Date: 2026-10-30 13:38:00
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NVIDIA (NVDA) stock closed at $213.66 on October 29, 2026, 10.7% below its highest close of the past year on October 6. If you expect the AI build-out to keep going, this decline may look like a cheaper entry point. For that trade to pay off, NVIDIA must keep converting record sales into cash, even as it uses its balance sheet to back some of the AI labs that buy from it. The current drop also has to play out like the company’s previous declines. So what did buying NVIDIA after its earlier sharp falls earn?
Most NVIDIA Dip Buyers Were Ahead A Year Later
Most of these buyers made money, though usually after a further slide in the share price. Since January 2010, NVIDIA stock has dropped 20% or more within 30 trading days 12 times. In nine of those instances, the shares traded higher 252 trading days, or about a year, later. At the median, $10,000 invested on the day of such a decline was worth about $15,900 a year later. In the other three cases, occurring twice in 2011 and once in January 2022, shares were lower a year after the fall, with the worst drop measuring 24%.
Collecting those gains required patience. At the median, the lowest close in the year following a drop sat 22.4% below the initial purchase price. The year’s highest price came about 300 calendar days, roughly ten months, after the fall. An investor buying the dip in January 2022 saw the shares close as…