Can NVIDIA Shares Hit $500 By 2030?

Can NVIDIA Shares Hit 0 By 2030?

By Eric Bleeker
Publication Date: 2026-03-07 18:23:00

NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA | NVDA Price Prediction) shares sank on Friday afternoon to close the week trading at $177.82. NVIDIA is now down 4.65% in 2026 despite a wave of good news that includes massive hyperscaler spending plans and blowout earnings.

With NVIDIA shares stuck in neutral, asking whether they could hit $500 per share by 2030 feels like an outlandish goal! Yet, there is math that could support such a move. Let’s dive into what it would take for NVIDIA to hit $500 per share by 2030 and why shares have been trading sideways the past six months despite such phenomenal news.

NVIDIA Wall Street Consensus Estimates

If we want to look ahead to 2030, the first step is understanding what estimates Wall Street is currently modeling for the company. We can find consensus revenue and EPS from Wall Street via data from Capital IQ.

It’s worth noting that once we arrive at Fiscal 2030 (which takes place mostly in calendar 2029), estimates will be a lot less precise as many analysts will only provide estimates two or three years out. For comparison, in the past 12 months, NVIDIA delivered revenue of $215.9 billion and adjusted EPS of $4.77.

Fiscal Year Revenue Estimate Adjusted EPS Estimate
FY2027 $366 billion $8.25
FY2028 $465 billion $10.74
FY2029 $548 billion $12.85
FY2030 $601 billion $12.31
FY2031 $671 billion $13.01

Why I Believe Wall Street’s EPS Estimates Are Too Low

It might surprise you to hear Wall Street is…