‘Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Just Torched Nvidia’s Buyback Strategy—And the Math Is Uncomfortable For Shareholders

‘Big Short’ Investor Michael Burry Just Torched Nvidia’s Buyback Strategy—And the Math Is Uncomfortable For Shareholders

By nickthomas2@benzinga.com
Publication Date: 2025-11-27 01:01:00

Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below.

Michael Burry, the hedge fund manager who famously predicted the 2008 financial crisis, just delivered a scathing analysis of Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:NVDA) that challenges the AI darling’s reputation as a shareholder-friendly company—and his numbers tell a story Wall Street might prefer to ignore.

In a recent post on X, Burry dissected Nvidia’s financials from 2018 through mid-2025, revealing what he sees as a fundamental disconnect between the chipmaker’s impressive earnings and what actually landed in shareholders’ pockets. The critique centers on a practice that’s become endemic across Big Tech: using stock-based compensation to offset share buybacks, effectively canceling out what should benefit existing investors.

Don’t Miss:

According to Burry’s analysis, Nvidia generated $205 billion in cumulative net income and $188 billion in free cash flow during the period examined. The company also executed $112.5 billion in share buybacks—an aggressive capital return program by any standard.

But here’s where it gets uncomfortable: Nvidia simultaneously issued $20.5 billion worth of stock-based compensation to employees. When valued at grant prices, Burry said this dilution offset the entire $112.5 billion buyback effort, increasing shares outstanding by 47 million despite the massive repurchase program.

The figures align with Nvidia’s…