What Is Next For IBM Stock?

What Is Next For IBM Stock?

By Trefis Team
Publication Date: 2026-10-19 10:45:00

Over the past twelve months, International Business Machines (IBM) stock lost 15.2%, trailing the 16.2% return for the S&P 500. Executives warned on a July 22 earnings call that fiscal Q2 2026 fell short of expectations. During that presentation, however, management expressed complete conviction that one specific unit will achieve double-digit long-term growth. Which part of IBM is that, and is it showing any sign of faster growth yet?

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IBM Is Betting On Software Growing At Double Digits

That unit is software. Management noted on the call that it maintains “complete conviction in the double-digit long-term software growth.”

Executives also highlighted annual recurring revenue, or ARR, of $24.6 billion at the end of the second quarter. This marked an 8% increase from a year earlier.

This baseline proved resilient during a weak quarter. Many clients redirected spending toward servers, storage and memory. Still, subscription and consumption-based software…